Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Some Random Thoughts on the 2014 Tony Awards Nominations

Just like most of you reading this, I watched the 2014 Tony Award nominations with high expectations and a guarded feeling that no matter what happened there would be disappointments and surprises.  Just like every year.  But maybe more so this year, with no huge hits, but with tons of individual excellence.  (See the season stats I compiled HERE.)

By now, everyone with a real interest in this topic has either already blogged about it or given their two cents' worth, so as I now do the same, please forgive anything I repeat for myself here.  I have read exactly 1 blog on this topic and have purposely stayed away from the message boards in order to keep my thoughts as uninfluenced as I can.  Of course, I did chat with Mike about how our predictions panned out and that's where I will start! (HERE are our predictions, in case you missed them!)

JEFF AND MIKE vs THE TONY COMMITTEE

  • For the first time in years, I correctly predicted more of the actual nominees than Mike did (76%), but it was close - Mike got 69% - a difference of just 5.  
  • Our wishes came true exactly the same number of times. with 39 "should be nominated"s making to "will be" list - a nice 62%.  
  • I successfully predicted that the committee would not give all 4 musical revivals a nod.  Mike successfully recognized a near shut-out for If/Then, which we both loved.
  • Mike got the biggest category right - Best Musical.  I correctly guessed all of the nominees for Best Musical Revival, Original Score, Orchestrations, and Featured Actor in a Musical. 
  • The category we both did the worst at was Featured Actress in a Musical.
  • Although we didn't "officially" guess these, we did mention the possibility in our notes: Adriane Lennox for Featured Actress, Danny Burstein for Featured Actor, Julian Crouch for Hedwig's Sets and Arianne Phillips' costumes for the same, Steven Hoggett and Kelly Devine's Rocky Choreography, and Mary Bridget Davies' Best Actress nods.  

Overall, I think we did a pretty decent job. Way to go, Mike!


DISAPPOINTING!

  • If/Then getting only two nominations.  No, it was not perfect, but no show is, was, or will be.
  • The Bridges of Madison County not getting a Best Musical nod.  And what about Steven Pasquale?
  • What about Josh Prince's choreography for Beautiful?
  • No Zachary Levi or Zachary Quinto.  And for that matter, and to a much lesser degree, no Zach Braff.  What do they have against names that start with a "Z"?


SHOCKING OMISSIONS!

  • Two words: Alex Timbers. His staging of Rocky was a superb blend of theatre and spectacle.  Did you see the final match?
  • Two more words: Gregg Barnes. Aladdin has TWO whole numbers that are costume parades - and those clothes are dazzling!
  • Last two words: Michelle Williams. How dare she bring a new Sally Bowles to the Kit Kat Klub!?  Daring, tough and very affecting.
  • A few more names: Radcliffe (what does this guy have to do to get some Tony love?), Stewart, McKellen and Seibert.



THEY GOT SOME THINGS RIGHT!

  • Jessie Mueller, Jarrod Spector and Anika Larsen were the only really excellent parts of Beautiful.
  • Adriane Lennox did pretty much the only acting in After Midnight, and she was superb.
  • Tom Kitt and Brian Yorkey's score. If/Then, will, I think, prove to be a much more important musical than people currently believe it to be.
  • Joshua Henry continues to be a breath of fresh air. What an actor!
  • Linda Emond.  Poised, low-key, brilliant.
  • Michael Mayer's direction and Kevin Adams' lighting for Hedwig were truly superlative.
  • Leaving Helene Yorke off the list.  There is a higher power.
  • Samuel Barnett, Mark Rylance and Paul Chahidi were brilliant in Twelfth Night.


SURPRISING INCLUSIONS!

  • Leigh Silverman's direction of Violet.  It was good, but better than Alex Timbers?
  • Mary Bridget Davies was the only really superb thing about A Night with Janis Joplin.  But did they really not like Michelle Williams that much?
  • Douglas McGrath's book for Beautiful? Part Wikipedia article, part sanitized VH1 Behind-the-Music, this has as much drama as a bowl of plain oatmeal.
  • Woody Allen?  Really, was that script significantly different from the film?  Maybe his inclusion is supposed to stir up some controversy?  Ick.


TWO BIG MESSAGES FROM THE TONY COMMITTEE!

  • If you are going to trot out big name movie and TV stars they better be really really good.  Just ask Denzel, James, Toni, Marisa, Daniel, Michael and Fantasia.
  • Easier is better than challenging.  Just as the folks at If/Then and The Realistic Joneses.


OK, so there are probably more things I could say.  But it won't change a thing.

Jeff
5.161

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

The 2013 - 2014 Season: By the Numbers

The 2014 - 2015 Season has begun!  But first...

The First Opening Night: July 14. 2013

The Last Opening Night: April 24, 2014

Well, Smash got cancelled, and Spider-Man closed.  But Broadway continues to be a part of the National landscape.  And that is a very good thing.  With the Tonight Show back in New York, there's even more Broadway on late night. Frozen introduced a whole bunch of families to a very Broadway sound - written by the latest (and youngest) member of the EGOT club - Robert Lopez.  And then John Travolta introduced the world to Adele Dazeem, and a very Broadway-style song, "Let It Go," made the Billboard Top 10.  The pop version did not.  As a result, the whole world, not just her long term Broadway fans, knows the name Idina Menzel.

Oh, and there was actually a Broadway season, too!  And, really, what a season!  There were a few clunkers, and no one show really broke out as a sensation.  BUT, and this is big for me, ALL of the shows - even the clunkers - has some really great things about them.  True excellence.  From discovering the fantastic Amber Imam in Soul Doctor to the dazzling company of Twelfth Night to the breathtaking The Glass Menagerie to the heartbreaking The Bridges of Madison County all the way to the perfectly marvelous Michelle Williams in Cabaret.  There were star turns aplenty - Idina, Fantasia, etc. - and there were stars galore, too.  Most of the movie stars this season joined the ranks of the show folk by bringing their "A game," like stage veterans Denzel Washington, Marisa Tomei, Toni Colette, Daniel Radcliffe and Daniel Craig, and debutantes Zach Braff, Zachary Levi, Zachary Quinto, Orlando Bloom, and Debra Messing.  And there were several career-defining performances including Andy Karl, Sutton Foster, Will Swensen, Tyne Daly, and maybe the two most celebrated performances of the season: Audra McDonald and Neil Patrick Harris.  No matter how the Tony nominations turned out today, I think Broadway fans were the biggest winners of all.

Below is the breakdown of all 40 shows that opened this season, plus some interesting categories, including a look at how many shows actually started out as BOOKS, not MOVIES!  And you'll see *, which means that the show stars actors known primarily for their stage career, and **, which means that the show features actors known primarily for their film and TV work.


Special Presentation: 700 Sundays

Special Presentations (4):
None of these shows were deemed eligible for the 2014 Tony Awards.

Forever Tango                         Il Divo: A Musical Affair
Let It Be                                   700 Sundays


Play Revival: A Raisin in the Sun

Play Revivals (14):

Romeo and Juliet                                    No Man's Land
The Glass Menagerie                             Waiting for Godot
The Winslow Boy                                   Machinal
Betrayal                                                 A Raisin in the Sun
Twelfth Night, or What You Will            Lady Day at Emerson's Bar and Grill
Richard III                                            Of Mice and Men
Macbeth                                               The Cripple of Inishmaan


Musical Revival: Violet

Musical Revivals (4):

Les Miserables                        Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Violet                                      Cabaret


New Play: Mothers and Sons

New Plays (10):

A Time to Kill                                Mothers and Sons
The Snow Geese                           The Realistic Joneses
Outside Mullingar                        Act One
Bronx Bombers                            The Velocity of Autumn
All the Way                                  Casa Valentina


New Musical: Bullets Over Broadway

New Musicals (12):

First Date                                                            Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
Soul Doctor                                                         The Bridges of Madison County
Big Fish                                                               Rocky
A Night with Janis Joplin                                    Aladdin
After Midnight                                                    If/Then
A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder         Bullets Over Broadway


Audra McDonald in 
Lady Day at Emerson's Bar and Grill

Stage Star* Vehicles (13):

The Bridges of Madison County                       If/Then
A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder       Big Fish 
Lady Day at Emerson's Bar and Grill              The Snow Geese
Mothers and Sons                                            Violet
The Velocity of Autumn                                    The Glass Menagerie
Twelfth Night/Richard III                                 No Man's Land/Waiting for Godot
Lady Day at Emerson' Bar and Grill


Daniel Radcliffe in
The Cripple of Inishmaan

Movie/TV Star** Vehicles (11):

First Date                                                         Bullets Over Broadway
Outside Mullingar                                            The Realistic Joneses
All the Way                                                      A Raisin in the Sun
Cabaret                                                           Of Mice and Men
Betrayal                                                           The Cripple of Inishmaan
Romeo and Juliet 

Rocky

Based on a Movie (3):

Rocky                                 Aladdin                 Bullets Over Broadway

A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder
                                                           
Based on a Book (10):

Big Fish                                                          The Bridges of Madison County
A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder      Cabaret
A Time to Kill                                                  Act One
Casa Valentina                                               Violet
Les Miserables                                                Of Mice and Men

First Date

Completely Original (10):

First Date                          If/Then                    Hedwig and the Angry Inch
The Realistic Joneses        Mothers and Sons   The Snow Geese
Bronx Bombers                 Outside Mullingar   The Velocity of Autumn
All the Way

A Night with Janis Joplin

Real People (7):

A Night with Janis Joplin                                Soul Doctor
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical               Bronx Bombers
Lady Day at Emerson's Bar and Grill            Act One
                                                                      All the Way

Twelfth Night

The Bard (4):

Macbeth     Romeo and Juliet     Twelfth Night     Richard III

Jeff
5.160

Monday, April 28, 2014

The 2013 - 2014 Season: Jeff and Mike's Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Well, the 2013 - 2014 Broadway season is in the history books.   My theatre-going buddy, Mike, and I were fortunate enough to see every new musical and musical revival.  As is tradition for this blog, we will be making our Tony nominations predictions in all of the musical categories.  Below, you'll see our choices for what we feel SHOULD be nominated and what WILL be nominated.  While very few shows stuck out as really exceptional, we both agree that many shows have really exceptional elements.  It was very hard to narrow down our choices in many categories, which sure was better than trying to stretch limited choices just to fill out a category.  We shall see how we compare to the actual Tony nominations tomorrow!

Let us know what you think SHOULD be nominated, and/or guess what will be nominated by writing in via email (jkstheatrescene@yahoo.com), Twitter (@jkstheatrescene), or by leaving a comment at the bottom of this blog entry!

THE MUSICAL CATEGORIES
JEFF – SHOULD
JEFF – WILL
MIKE – SHOULD
MIKE – WILL
BEST MUSICAL
BEST MUSICAL
BEST MUSICAL
BEST MUSICAL
Aladdin
Aladdin
After Midnight
After Midnight
The Bridges of
Madison County
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
Aladdin
Aladdin
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
The Bridges of
Madison County
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
If/Then
Rocky
If/Then
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
*Rocky
*After Midnight
*A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
*The Bridges of
Madison County
Jeff: The shows marked by an * represent what we feel will be the 5th nominee if there is one.
Mike:  The star indicates a possible fifth slot. I have many doubts about the "will" list, with only Gentleman's Guide as a near-lock and the possibility of Bullets, If/Then, and Rocky bumping other choices.
BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
Cabaret
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Cabaret
Cabaret
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Les Miserables
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Violet
Violet
Violet
Violet
*No 4th Nominee
*Cabaret
*Les Miserables
*Les Miserables
Jeff: I don’t think there will or should be a fourth nominee in this category this year.
Mike: Obviously the fourth one may get picked, too!
BEST BOOK
OF A MUSICAL
BEST BOOK
OF A MUSICAL
BEST BOOK
OF A MUSICAL
BEST BOOK
OF A MUSICAL
Aladdin
- Chad Beguelin
Aladdin
- Chad Beguelin
Aladdin
- Chad Beguelin
Aladdin
- Chad Beguelin
The Bridges of
Madison County – Marsha Norman
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
Douglas McGrath
The Bridges of
Madison County – Marsha Norman
The Bridges of
Madison County – Marsha Norman
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Robert L. Freedman
The Bridges of
Madison County – Marsha Norman
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Robert L. Freedman
Bullets Over Broadway  
– Woody Allen
Rocky – Thomas Meehan and
Sylvester Stallone
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Robert L. Freedman
If/Then 
 – Brian Yorkey
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Robert L. Freedman
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE
Aladdin Music: Alan Menken;  Lyrics by Howard Ashman, Chad Beguelin and Tim Rice
Aladdin Music: Alan Menken;  Lyrics by Howard Ashman, Chad Beguelin and Tim Rice
Aladdin Music: Alan Menken;  Lyrics by Howard Ashman, Chad Beguelin and Tim Rice
Aladdin Music: Alan Menken;  Lyrics by Howard Ashman, Chad Beguelin and Tim Rice
The Bridges of
Madison County – Music and Lyrics:
Jason Robert Brown
The Bridges of
Madison County – Music and Lyrics:
Jason Robert Brown
The Bridges of
Madison County – Music and Lyrics:
Jason Robert Brown
The Bridges of
Madison County – Music and Lyrics:
Jason Robert Brown
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Music: Steven Lutvak; Lyrics: Robert L. Freedman and
Steven Lutvak
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Music: Steven Lutvak; Lyrics: Robert L. Freedman and
Steven Lutvak
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Music: Steven Lutvak; Lyrics: Robert L. Freedman and
Steven Lutvak
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Music: Steven Lutvak; Lyrics: Robert L. Freedman and
Steven Lutvak
If/Then
– Music: Tom Kitt; Lyrics: Brian Yorkey
If/Then 
– Music: Tom Kitt; Lyrics: Brian Yorkey
If/Then 
– Music: Tom Kitt; Lyrics: Brian Yorkey
Rocky  – Music: Stephen Flaherty; Lyrics: Lynn Aherns
Mike:  I'm afraid of a near shut-out for If/Then.

THE DIRECTION CATEGORIES
MIKE – SHOULD
MIKE – WILL
JEFF – SHOULD
JEFF – WILL
BEST DIRECTION
OF A MUSICAL
BEST DIRECTION
OF A MUSICAL
BEST DIRECTION
OF A MUSICAL
BEST DIRECTION
OF A MUSICAL
Michael Mayer Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Michael Mayer Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Michael Mayer Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Michael Mayer Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Casey Nicholaw 
Aladdin
Casey Nicholaw 
Aladdin
Bartlett Sher
The Bridges of
 Madison County
Casey Nicholaw 
Aladdin
Bartlett Sher
The Bridges of
 Madison County
Alex Timbers  Rocky
Alex Timbers  Rocky
Alex Timbers  Rocky
Alex Timbers  Rocky
Darko Tresjnak
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Darko Tresjnak
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Darko Tresjnak
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Jeff: It wouldn’t surprise me if the Tony nominators give Susan Stroman a nod in this category for Bullets Over Broadway.
Mike:  Violet just misses the cut for me, and is a potential spoiler in the "will" category.
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Warren Carlyle
After Midnight
Warren Carlyle
After Midnight
Warren Carlyle
After Midnight
Warren Carlyle
After Midnight
Peggy Hickey  A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Peggy Hickey  A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Casey Nicholaw Aladdin
Casey Nicholaw Aladdin
Casey Nicholaw Aladdin
Casey Nicholaw Aladdin
Josh Prince Beautiful:
The Carole King Musical
Josh Prince Beautiful:
The Carole King Musical
Susan Stroman
Bullets Over Broadway
Susan Stroman
Bullets Over Broadway
Susan Stroman
Bullets Over Broadway
Susan Stroman
Bullets Over Broadway
Jeff: I wonder if the nominators will recognize Steven Hoggett and Kelly Devine’s contribution to Rocky’s montage scenes and finale.  Not traditional dancing, to be sure.
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
Jason Robert Brown – The Bridges of
 Madison County
Jason Robert Brown – The Bridges of
 Madison County
Jason Robert Brown – The Bridges of
 Madison County
Doug Besterman
Bullets Over Broadway
Michael Starobin 
If/Then
Steven Trask and Doug Besterman –  Rocky
Michael Starobin 
If/Then
Jason Robert Brown – The Bridges of
 Madison County
Danny Troob  Aladdin
Danny Troob  Aladdin
Danny Troob  Aladdin
Steve Sidwell Beautiful:
The Carole King Musical
Jonathan Tunick 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Jonathan Tunick 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Jonathan Tunick 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Jonathan Tunick 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Jeff: I’ll be honest here.  I don’t know enough about orchestrations to make an educated guess.  I picked my “shoulds” based on what pleased my ear the most.  And my “wills” are purely based mostly on names that have been previous winners or frequent nominees in previous seasons.
Mike: I think the committee mainly picks names they know here. This might be a good category to award Stephen Trask for Hedwig by proxy, at least for a nomination.

THE DESIGN CATEGORIES
MIKE – SHOULD
MIKE – WILL
JEFF – SHOULD
JEFF – WILL
BEST SCENIC DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST SCENIC DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST SCENIC DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST SCENIC DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
Santo Loquasto 
Bullets Over Broadway
Christopher  Barreca  Rocky
Christopher  Barreca  Rocky
Christopher  Barreca  Rocky
Mark Wendland – If/Then
Alexander Dodge 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Bob Crowley  Aladdin
Bob Crowley  Aladdin
Michael Yeargan
The Bridges of
Madison County
Santo Loquasto 
Bullets Over Broadway
Alexander Dodge 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Alexander Dodge 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
David Zinn - Violet
David Zinn - Violet
Santo Loquasto – Bullets Over Broadway
Santo Loquasto 
Bullets Over 
Broadway
Jeff: I wouldn’t be surprised to see Julian Crouch’s Hedwig design nominated.
Mike: I'm not at all sure about this category, either!
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
Gregg Barnes  Aladdin
Gregg Barnes  Aladdin
Gregg Barnes  Aladdin
Gregg Barnes  Aladdin
Linda Cho 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Linda Cho 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Linda Cho 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Linda Cho 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
William Ivey Long 
Bullets Over Broadway
William Ivey Long 
Bullets Over Broadway
William Ivey Long 
Bullets Over Broadway
William Ivey Long 
Bullets Over 
Broadway
Clint Ramos 
Violet
David Zinn - Rocky
Isabel Toledo 
After Midnight
Isabel Toledo 
After Midnight
Jeff: I wouldn’t be surprised to see Arianne Phillips’ Hedwig design.
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
Kevin Adams
Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
Kevin Adams
Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
Kevin Adams
Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
Christopher  Akerlind  Rocky
Christopher  Akerlind  Rocky
Christopher  Akerlind  Rocky
Christopher  Akerlind  Rocky
Donald Holder
The Bridges of
Madison County
Mark Barton
Violet
Donald Holder
Bullets Over Broadway
Donald Holder
The Bridges of
Madison County
Peter Kaczorowski  Beautiful: The Carole
King Musical
Kenneth Posner  If/Then
Phillip L.Rosenberg – 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Kenneth Posner  If/Then
Natasha Katz  Aladdin
BEST SOUND DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST SOUND DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST SOUND DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
BEST SOUND DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
Carl Casella 
A Night with Janis Joplin
Peter Hylenski 
After Midnight
Peter Hylenski 
Bullets Over Broadway
Peter Hylenski 
Bullets Over Broadway
Peter Hylenski 
After Midnight
Peter Hylenski 
Bullets Over Broadway
Peter Hylenski 
Rocky
Peter Hylenski 
Rocky
Mick Potter
Les Miserables
Mick Potter
Les Miserables
Tim O’Heir
Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
Brian Ronan  Beautiful: The Carole
King Musical
Jon Weston  
The Bridges of
Madison County
David Moses Schreier 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Mick Potter
Les Miserables
David Moses Schreier 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Jeff: This is another area I know little about.  I’m not sure the Tony nominators do, either.  I’m betting that shows with obvious sound effects, and shows with nominating love and momentum.

THE ACTING CATEGORIES
JEFF – SHOULD
JEFF – WILL
MIKE – SHOULD
MIKE – WILL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
Neil Patrick Harris Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Neil Patrick Harris Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Neil Patrick Harris Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Neil Patrick Harris Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Andy Karl  Rocky
Ramin Karimloo
Les Miserables
Andy Karl  Rocky
Ramin Karimloo
Les Miserables
Jefferson Mays 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Andy Karl  Rocky
Jefferson Mays 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Andy Karl  Rocky
Steven Pasquale
The Bridges of
 Madison County
Jefferson Mays 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Steven Pasquale
The Bridges of
 Madison County
Jefferson Mays 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Bryce Pinkham 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Steven Pasquale
The Bridges of
 Madison County
Bryce Pinkham 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Steven Pasquale
The Bridges of
 Madison County
Jeff: I would love it if Zachary Levi were remembered here.
Mike:  Zachary Levi is next in line on my list, and a dark horse for the "will" category.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS
IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS
IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS
IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS
IN A MUSICAL
Sutton Foster  Violet
Sutton Foster  Violet
Sutton Foster  Violet
Sutton Foster  Violet
Idina Menzel   If/Then
Idina Menzel   If/Then
Idina Menzel   If/Then
Idina Menzel   If/Then
Jessie Mueller  Beautiful: The Carole
King Musical
Jessie Mueller  Beautiful: The Carole
King Musical
Jessie Mueller  Beautiful: The Carole
King Musical
Jessie Mueller  Beautiful: The Carole
King Musical
Kelli  O’Hara
The Bridges of
Madison County
Kelli  O’Hara
The Bridges of
Madison County
Kelli  O’Hara
The Bridges of
Madison County
Kelli  O’Hara
The Bridges of
Madison County
Michelle Williams  Cabaret
Michelle Williams  Cabaret
Michelle Williams  Cabaret
Michelle Williams  Cabaret
Mike: This is definitely the clearest category for me, though I wouldn't be shocked to see Mary knock off Idina in the "will" column.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
Nick Cordero 
Bullets Over Broadway
Danny Burstein  Cabaret
Nick Cordero 
Bullets Over Broadway
Danny Burstein  Cabaret
Joshua Henry  Violet
Nick Cordero 
Bullets Over Broadway
Colin Donnell  Violet
Nick Cordero 
Bullets Over Broadway
James Monroe Iglehart  Aladdin
Joshua Henry  Violet
Joshua Henry  Violet
Jake Epstein  Beautiful: The Carole
King Musical
James Snyder  If/Then
James Monroe Iglehart  Aladdin
James Monroe Iglehart  Aladdin
Joshua Henry  Violet
Jarrod Spector  Beautiful: The Carole
King Musical
Jarrod Spector  Beautiful: The Carole
King Musical
Anthony Rapp  If/Then
James Monroe Iglehart  Aladdin
Jeff and Mike:  This was not Burstein's greatest performance, but the committee loves him.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Linda Emond  Cabaret
Linda Emond  Cabaret
Fantasia Barrino  After Midnight
Linda Emond  Cabaret
Lena Hall Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Lena Hall Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Linda Emond  Cabaret
Lena Hall Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Anika Larsen  Beautiful: The Carole
King Musical
Adriane Lennox 
After Midnight
Lena Hall Hedwig and
the Angry Inch
Marin Mazzie  Bullets Over Broadway
Lisa O’Hare 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Lisa O’Hare 
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Caissie Levy  Les Miserables
Margo Seibert  Rocky
Margo Seibert  Rocky
Margo Seibert  Rocky
Margo Seibert  Rocky
Helene Yorke  Bullets Over Broadway
Jeff: I had a hard time narrowing this down.  I’d be OK with Fantasia Barrino, Caissie Levy, Adriane Lennox or Marin Mazzie here.
Mike:  Other worthy nominees for me: LaChanze, Marin Mazzie, Cass Morgan. The "will" column is anybody's guess.

JEFF AND MIKE'S PREDICTION TOTALS
2014 TONY AWARDS NOMINATIONS PREDICTIONS – TALLY BY SHOW
* - Total includes the possibility of a 4th Best Musical Revival and a 5th Best Musical nomination
SHOW
JEFF 
SHOULD
JEFF 
WILL
SHOW
MIKE 
SHOULD
MIKE
WILL
After Midnight
2
4*
After Midnight
4
3
Aladdin
8
9
Aladdin
8
8
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
4
8
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
1
3
The Bridges of Madison County
8
6
The Bridges of Madison County
9
6
Bullets Over Broadway
5
6
Bullets Over Broadway
4
9
Cabaret
3
4*
Cabaret
3
4
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
10
10
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
8
11
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
6
4
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
5
5
If/Then
6
2
If/Then
8
1
Les Miserables
1
2
Les Miserables
3*
3*
A Night with Janis Joplin
0
0
A Night with Janis Joplin
1
0
Rocky
8*
7
Rocky
4
8
Violet
3
3
Violet
7
4
How do we compare to your predictions?  Will we be close to tomorrow's nominations?  Check back tomorrow after the Tony nominations are announced.  (Blogcast LIVE right here at JK's TheatreScene!!)

Jeff
5.159
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