Let us know what you think SHOULD be nominated, and/or guess what will be nominated by writing in via email (jkstheatrescene@yahoo.com), Twitter (@jkstheatrescene), or by leaving a comment at the bottom of this blog entry!
THE MUSICAL CATEGORIES
JEFF – SHOULD
|
JEFF – WILL
|
MIKE – SHOULD
|
MIKE – WILL
|
BEST MUSICAL
|
BEST MUSICAL
|
BEST MUSICAL
|
BEST MUSICAL
|
Aladdin
|
Aladdin
|
After Midnight
|
After Midnight
|
The Bridges of
Madison County
|
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
|
Aladdin
|
Aladdin
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
The Bridges of
Madison County
|
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
|
If/Then
|
Rocky
|
If/Then
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
*Rocky
|
*After Midnight
|
*A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
*The Bridges of
Madison County
|
Jeff:
The shows marked by an * represent
what we feel will be the 5th nominee if there is one.
Mike:
The star indicates a possible fifth slot. I have many
doubts about the "will" list, with only Gentleman's Guide as a near-lock and the possibility of Bullets, If/Then, and Rocky bumping
other choices.
|
|||
BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
|
BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
|
BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
|
BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
|
Cabaret
|
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
|
Cabaret
|
Cabaret
|
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
|
Les Miserables
|
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
|
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
|
Violet
|
Violet
|
Violet
|
Violet
|
*No
4th Nominee
|
*Cabaret
|
*Les Miserables
|
*Les Miserables
|
Jeff: I don’t
think there will or should be a fourth nominee in this category this year.
Mike:
Obviously the fourth one may get picked, too!
|
|||
BEST BOOK
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST BOOK
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST BOOK
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST BOOK
OF A MUSICAL
|
Aladdin
-
Chad Beguelin
|
Aladdin
-
Chad Beguelin
|
Aladdin
-
Chad Beguelin
|
Aladdin
-
Chad Beguelin
|
The Bridges of
Madison County – Marsha Norman
|
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical–
Douglas McGrath
|
The Bridges of
Madison County – Marsha Norman
|
The Bridges of
Madison County – Marsha Norman
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Robert L. Freedman
|
The Bridges of
Madison County – Marsha Norman
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Robert L. Freedman
|
Bullets Over Broadway
– Woody
Allen
|
Rocky – Thomas Meehan and
Sylvester Stallone
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Robert L. Freedman
|
If/Then
– Brian Yorkey
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Robert L. Freedman
|
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE
|
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE
|
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE
|
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE
|
Aladdin –
Music: Alan Menken; Lyrics by Howard Ashman, Chad Beguelin and
Tim Rice
|
Aladdin –
Music: Alan Menken; Lyrics by Howard Ashman, Chad Beguelin and
Tim Rice
|
Aladdin
– Music:
Alan Menken; Lyrics by Howard Ashman,
Chad Beguelin and Tim Rice
|
Aladdin
– Music:
Alan Menken; Lyrics by Howard Ashman,
Chad Beguelin and Tim Rice
|
The Bridges of
Madison County – Music and Lyrics:
Jason Robert Brown
|
The Bridges of
Madison County – Music and Lyrics:
Jason Robert Brown
|
The Bridges of
Madison County – Music and Lyrics:
Jason Robert Brown
|
The Bridges of
Madison County – Music and Lyrics:
Jason Robert Brown
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Music: Steven Lutvak; Lyrics: Robert L. Freedman and
Steven Lutvak
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Music: Steven Lutvak; Lyrics: Robert L. Freedman and
Steven Lutvak
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Music: Steven Lutvak; Lyrics: Robert L. Freedman and
Steven Lutvak
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder – Music: Steven Lutvak; Lyrics: Robert L. Freedman and
Steven Lutvak
|
If/Then
– Music: Tom Kitt;
Lyrics: Brian Yorkey
|
If/Then
– Music: Tom Kitt;
Lyrics: Brian Yorkey
|
If/Then
– Music: Tom Kitt;
Lyrics: Brian Yorkey
|
Rocky – Music: Stephen Flaherty; Lyrics: Lynn Aherns
|
Mike:
I'm afraid of a near
shut-out for If/Then.
|
|||
THE DIRECTION CATEGORIES
MIKE – SHOULD
|
MIKE – WILL
|
JEFF – SHOULD
|
JEFF – WILL
|
BEST DIRECTION
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST DIRECTION
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST DIRECTION
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST DIRECTION
OF A MUSICAL
|
Michael
Mayer –
Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Michael
Mayer –
Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Michael
Mayer – Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Michael
Mayer – Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Casey
Nicholaw
–
Aladdin
|
Casey
Nicholaw
–
Aladdin
|
Bartlett
Sher –
The
Bridges of
Madison County
|
Casey
Nicholaw –
Aladdin
|
Bartlett
Sher –
The
Bridges of
Madison County
|
Alex
Timbers
– Rocky
|
Alex
Timbers – Rocky
|
Alex
Timbers – Rocky
|
Alex
Timbers
– Rocky
|
Darko
Tresjnak –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Darko
Tresjnak –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Darko
Tresjnak –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Jeff:
It wouldn’t surprise me if the Tony
nominators give Susan Stroman a nod in this category for Bullets Over Broadway.
Mike:
Violet just misses the cut for
me, and is a potential spoiler in the "will" category.
|
|||
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
|
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
|
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
|
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
|
Warren
Carlyle –
After
Midnight
|
Warren
Carlyle –
After
Midnight
|
Warren
Carlyle –
After
Midnight
|
Warren
Carlyle –
After
Midnight
|
Peggy
Hickey – A Gentleman’s
Guide to Love and Murder
|
Peggy
Hickey – A Gentleman’s
Guide to Love and Murder
|
Casey
Nicholaw – Aladdin
|
Casey
Nicholaw – Aladdin
|
Casey
Nicholaw –
Aladdin
|
Casey
Nicholaw –
Aladdin
|
Josh
Prince – Beautiful:
The
Carole King Musical
|
Josh
Prince – Beautiful:
The
Carole King Musical
|
Susan
Stroman –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Susan
Stroman –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Susan
Stroman –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Susan
Stroman –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Jeff:
I wonder if the nominators will
recognize Steven Hoggett and Kelly Devine’s contribution to Rocky’s montage scenes and
finale. Not traditional dancing, to be
sure.
|
|||
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
|
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
|
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
|
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
|
Jason
Robert Brown – The
Bridges of
Madison County
|
Jason
Robert Brown – The
Bridges of
Madison County
|
Jason
Robert Brown – The
Bridges of
Madison County
|
Doug
Besterman –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Michael
Starobin
–
If/Then
|
Steven
Trask and Doug Besterman – Rocky
|
Michael
Starobin –
If/Then
|
Jason
Robert Brown – The
Bridges of
Madison County
|
Danny
Troob
– Aladdin
|
Danny
Troob
– Aladdin
|
Danny
Troob –
Aladdin
|
Steve
Sidwell – Beautiful:
The
Carole King Musical
|
Jonathan
Tunick
–
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Jonathan
Tunick
–
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Jonathan
Tunick –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Jonathan
Tunick –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Jeff:
I’ll be honest here. I don’t know enough about orchestrations to
make an educated guess. I picked my
“shoulds” based on what pleased my ear the most. And my “wills” are purely based mostly on
names that have been previous winners or frequent nominees in previous
seasons.
Mike:
I think the committee mainly picks names they know
here. This might be a good category to award Stephen Trask for Hedwig by proxy, at least for a
nomination.
|
|||
THE DESIGN CATEGORIES
MIKE – SHOULD
|
MIKE – WILL
|
JEFF – SHOULD
|
JEFF – WILL
|
BEST SCENIC DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST SCENIC DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST SCENIC DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST SCENIC DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
Santo
Loquasto
–
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Christopher Barreca – Rocky
|
Christopher Barreca
– Rocky
|
Christopher Barreca
– Rocky
|
Mark
Wendland – If/Then
|
Alexander
Dodge
–
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Bob
Crowley – Aladdin
|
Bob
Crowley – Aladdin
|
Michael
Yeargan –
The
Bridges of
Madison
County
|
Santo
Loquasto
–
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Alexander
Dodge –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Alexander
Dodge –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
David
Zinn - Violet
|
David
Zinn - Violet
|
Santo
Loquasto – Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Santo
Loquasto –
Bullets
Over
Broadway
|
Jeff:
I wouldn’t be surprised to see Julian
Crouch’s Hedwig design nominated.
Mike:
I'm not at all sure about this category, either!
|
|||
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
Gregg
Barnes
– Aladdin
|
Gregg
Barnes
– Aladdin
|
Gregg
Barnes – Aladdin
|
Gregg
Barnes – Aladdin
|
Linda
Cho
–
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Linda
Cho
–
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Linda
Cho –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Linda
Cho –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
William
Ivey Long
–
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
William
Ivey Long
–
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
William
Ivey Long –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
William
Ivey Long –
Bullets
Over
Broadway
|
Clint
Ramos
–
Violet
|
David
Zinn - Rocky
|
Isabel
Toledo –
After
Midnight
|
Isabel
Toledo –
After
Midnight
|
Jeff:
I wouldn’t be surprised to see Arianne
Phillips’ Hedwig design.
|
|||
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
Kevin
Adams –
Hedwig
and the
Angry
Inch
|
Kevin
Adams –
Hedwig
and the
Angry
Inch
|
Kevin
Adams –
Hedwig
and the
Angry
Inch
|
Christopher Akerlind
– Rocky
|
Christopher Akerlind – Rocky
|
Christopher Akerlind – Rocky
|
Christopher Akerlind
– Rocky
|
Donald
Holder –
The
Bridges of
Madison
County
|
Mark
Barton –
Violet
|
Donald
Holder –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Donald
Holder –
The
Bridges of
Madison
County
|
Peter
Kaczorowski – Beautiful: The
Carole
King
Musical
|
Kenneth
Posner
– If/Then
|
Phillip
L.Rosenberg –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Kenneth
Posner – If/Then
|
Natasha
Katz – Aladdin
|
BEST SOUND DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST SOUND DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST SOUND DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
BEST SOUND DESIGN
OF A MUSICAL
|
Carl
Casella
–
A
Night with Janis Joplin
|
Peter
Hylenski
–
After
Midnight
|
Peter
Hylenski –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Peter
Hylenski –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Peter
Hylenski
–
After
Midnight
|
Peter
Hylenski
–
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Peter
Hylenski –
Rocky
|
Peter
Hylenski –
Rocky
|
Mick
Potter –
Les
Miserables
|
Mick
Potter –
Les
Miserables
|
Tim
O’Heir –
Hedwig
and the
Angry
Inch
|
Brian
Ronan – Beautiful: The
Carole
King
Musical
|
Jon
Weston –
The
Bridges of
Madison
County
|
David
Moses Schreier –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Mick
Potter –
Les
Miserables
|
David
Moses Schreier –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Jeff:
This is another area I know little
about. I’m not sure the Tony
nominators do, either. I’m betting
that shows with obvious sound effects, and shows with nominating love and
momentum.
| |||
THE ACTING CATEGORIES
JEFF – SHOULD
|
JEFF – WILL
|
MIKE – SHOULD
|
MIKE – WILL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
|
Neil
Patrick Harris – Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Neil
Patrick Harris – Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Neil
Patrick Harris – Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Neil
Patrick Harris – Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Andy
Karl – Rocky
|
Ramin
Karimloo –
Les
Miserables
|
Andy
Karl
– Rocky
|
Ramin
Karimloo –
Les
Miserables
|
Jefferson
Mays –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Andy
Karl – Rocky
|
Jefferson
Mays
–
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Andy
Karl
– Rocky
|
Steven
Pasquale –
The
Bridges of
Madison County
|
Jefferson
Mays –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Steven
Pasquale –
The
Bridges of
Madison County
|
Jefferson
Mays
–
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Bryce
Pinkham –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Steven
Pasquale –
The
Bridges of
Madison County
|
Bryce
Pinkham
–
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Steven
Pasquale –
The
Bridges of
Madison County
|
Jeff:
I would love it if Zachary Levi were
remembered here.
Mike:
Zachary Levi is next in
line on my list, and a dark horse for the "will" category.
|
|||
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS
IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS
IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS
IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS
IN A MUSICAL
|
Sutton
Foster – Violet
|
Sutton
Foster – Violet
|
Sutton
Foster
– Violet
|
Sutton
Foster
– Violet
|
Idina
Menzel – If/Then
|
Idina
Menzel – If/Then
|
Idina
Menzel
– If/Then
|
Idina
Menzel
– If/Then
|
Jessie
Mueller – Beautiful: The
Carole
King
Musical
|
Jessie
Mueller – Beautiful: The
Carole
King
Musical
|
Jessie
Mueller
– Beautiful: The Carole
King
Musical
|
Jessie
Mueller
– Beautiful: The Carole
King
Musical
|
Kelli O’Hara –
The
Bridges of
Madison
County
|
Kelli O’Hara –
The
Bridges of
Madison
County
|
Kelli O’Hara –
The
Bridges of
Madison
County
|
Kelli O’Hara –
The
Bridges of
Madison
County
|
Michelle
Williams – Cabaret
|
Michelle
Williams – Cabaret
|
Michelle
Williams
– Cabaret
|
Michelle
Williams
– Cabaret
|
Mike:
This is definitely the clearest category for me,
though I wouldn't be shocked to see Mary knock off Idina in the
"will" column.
|
|||
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR
IN A MUSICAL
|
Nick
Cordero –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Danny
Burstein – Cabaret
|
Nick
Cordero
–
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Danny
Burstein
– Cabaret
|
Joshua
Henry – Violet
|
Nick
Cordero –
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
Colin
Donnell
– Violet
|
Nick
Cordero
–
Bullets
Over Broadway
|
James
Monroe Iglehart – Aladdin
|
Joshua
Henry – Violet
|
Joshua
Henry
– Violet
|
Jake
Epstein
– Beautiful: The Carole
King
Musical
|
James
Snyder – If/Then
|
James
Monroe Iglehart – Aladdin
|
James
Monroe Iglehart – Aladdin
|
Joshua
Henry
– Violet
|
Jarrod
Spector – Beautiful: The
Carole
King
Musical
|
Jarrod
Spector – Beautiful: The
Carole
King
Musical
|
Anthony
Rapp
– If/Then
|
James
Monroe Iglehart – Aladdin
|
Jeff
and Mike: This was not Burstein's
greatest performance, but the committee loves him.
|
|||
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
|
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
|
Linda
Emond – Cabaret
|
Linda
Emond – Cabaret
|
Fantasia
Barrino
– After Midnight
|
Linda
Emond
– Cabaret
|
Lena
Hall – Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Lena
Hall – Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Linda
Emond
– Cabaret
|
Lena
Hall –
Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Anika
Larsen – Beautiful: The
Carole
King
Musical
|
Adriane
Lennox –
After
Midnight
|
Lena
Hall –
Hedwig and
the
Angry Inch
|
Marin
Mazzie
– Bullets Over Broadway
|
Lisa
O’Hare –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Lisa
O’Hare –
A
Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
Caissie
Levy
– Les Miserables
|
Margo
Seibert
– Rocky
|
Margo
Seibert – Rocky
|
Margo
Seibert – Rocky
|
Margo
Seibert
– Rocky
|
Helene
Yorke
– Bullets Over Broadway
|
Jeff:
I had a hard time narrowing this
down. I’d be OK with Fantasia Barrino,
Caissie Levy, Adriane Lennox or Marin Mazzie here.
Mike:
Other worthy nominees
for me: LaChanze, Marin Mazzie, Cass Morgan. The "will" column is
anybody's guess.
|
|||
JEFF AND MIKE'S PREDICTION TOTALS
2014 TONY AWARDS NOMINATIONS PREDICTIONS – TALLY BY
SHOW
* - Total
includes the possibility of a 4th Best Musical Revival and a 5th
Best Musical nomination
|
|||||
SHOW
|
JEFF
SHOULD
|
JEFF
WILL
|
SHOW
|
MIKE
SHOULD
|
MIKE
WILL
|
After Midnight
|
2
|
4*
|
After Midnight
|
4
|
3
|
Aladdin
|
8
|
9
|
Aladdin
|
8
|
8
|
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
|
4
|
8
|
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
|
1
|
3
|
The Bridges of Madison County
|
8
|
6
|
The Bridges of Madison County
|
9
|
6
|
Bullets Over Broadway
|
5
|
6
|
Bullets Over Broadway
|
4
|
9
|
Cabaret
|
3
|
4*
|
Cabaret
|
3
|
4
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
10
|
10
|
A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
|
8
|
11
|
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
|
6
|
4
|
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
|
5
|
5
|
If/Then
|
6
|
2
|
If/Then
|
8
|
1
|
Les Miserables
|
1
|
2
|
Les Miserables
|
3*
|
3*
|
A Night with Janis Joplin
|
0
|
0
|
A Night with Janis Joplin
|
1
|
0
|
Rocky
|
8*
|
7
|
Rocky
|
4
|
8
|
Violet
|
3
|
3
|
Violet
|
7
|
4
|
How do we compare to your predictions? Will we be close to tomorrow's nominations? Check back tomorrow after the Tony nominations are announced. (Blogcast LIVE right here at JK's TheatreScene!!)
Jeff
5.159
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